The crowd has made its call, fans! Four days after Everton beat Newcastle 3-1 in the Carabao Cup, the traders on the opinion market have settled on the home side's turf. The question is simple: will Newcastle's home advantage decide tonight's Premier League rematch on Tyneside? "Yes" finishes on top at 60% consensus, with "No" at 40%. Last week's scoreline said one thing. The crowd's gut says the venue changes it.

Where the crowd stands
  • Yes60%
  • No40%

This one didn't start as a runaway. Our earlier story found the crowd split on Tyneside turf when this fight opened. On the chart from Nov 2, "Yes" started at 50% and "No" at 50%. After that "Yes" moved between 49% and 59%, and the lead changed hands 7 times. It ended with 29 traders and $35,479 behind their opinions. That's a short, sharp contest, under a day old, not a season-long saga, but the final whistle has gone on it.

Consensus over time
0%25%50%75%100%2 Nov, 15:142 Nov, 19:13
  • Yes 58.8%
  • No 41.2%

Look at the evidence the backers of "Yes" had to see past. According to ESPN's match report, Everton were two goals up by half-time through James Garner and Hayden Hackney. Thierno Barry added a third, and Dan Burn's 88th-minute goal was only a consolation, even with 8,000 travelling Newcastle fans in the stands. Matthias Jaissle changed things at the break, and the same recap says Newcastle United need a rethink before tonight. Everton also won that EFL Cup tie without Jack Grealish, who missed the match for a 'breach of club discipline' after an unauthorised absence from training, ESPN reports.

The most telling detail in the theses comes from one trader, 0xLiquidated, who shows up on both sides. On the "No" side: "slow and steady. dont need it to moon tomorrow." On the "Yes" side: "common sense says this and common sense is undefeated lately." That's a man hedging the touchline and the terraces at once. In the end the crowd went with common sense, and so would I. My take, and it is only a take: 8,000 travelling Newcastle fans watched Everton win 3-1, and now it's Everton's turn to walk into the noise. A 3-1 cup defeat is exactly the sort of thing a home crowd wants to answer.

Here's the honest scoreboard, though. The crowd's verdict on this question is in, but the match isn't, and none of the sources report what happens on Tyneside tonight. An early Everton goal or a quiet home crowd would make "No" look smart in hindsight. A Newcastle response would make the crowd look like it called it. Think the venue wins it, or that last week's form carries over? Join the market and put your opinion on the line next time the whistle blows.