Fans, this market has closed, and Liverpool never trailed. Not for one tick. Everyone's searching "liverpool" as Arsenal roll into Anfield, and the opinion market on Morfi asking who you back between these two has closed with Liverpool on 60% consensus and Arsenal on 40%. Liverpool went in front early and stayed there, start to finish.

Where the crowd stands
  • Liverpool60%
  • Arsenal40%

When we first covered this fight a day in, it was still an early lean. Now it's the result. The chart opened on Nov 1 with Liverpool at 51% and Arsenal at 50%. Liverpool's backing then moved between 51% and 60%, and at no point did Arsenal get their noses in front. 14 traders put $34,913 behind their opinions in a market that ran for less than a day. It started close to a coin-flip, but Liverpool led at every point and widened the gap by the close.

Consensus over time
0%25%50%75%100%1 Nov, 17:031 Nov, 18:17
  • Liverpool 60%
  • Arsenal 40%

The real drama was with one trader. gigabrain.eth sold Arsenal on the claim that "onchain logic points here and onchain doesnt lie like people do", and he also sold Liverpool, warning that "the crowd already decided which is exactly why theyre wrong." On the Liverpool side, Kayla 🌷 summed up the mood: "the math says maybe and the gut says definitely, im siding with both."

The stakes on the pitch are real. ESPN's live coverage calls it a huge clash at Anfield, with both sides trying to make a statement in the Premier League title race. ESPN also reports that Liverpool handed young midfielder Trey Nyoni his first start. Keep in mind what this market measured: which club the crowd backs in the rivalry, not the score. ESPN's match preview covers that side of things.

Here's my take, and it is only opinion: when one side leads at every point of a sprint like this, the crowd isn't hedging. It started tight, then pulled Liverpool clear from 51% to 60%. gigabrain.eth's contrarian betting was fun to watch, but it never turned into a comeback.

This verdict is final, but the rivalry carries on. The next Liverpool vs Arsenal market starts from zero, and a few big Arsenal backers could make it a real contest. Think the crowd got it wrong? Join the next market on Morfi and put your conviction behind your club.