Arsenal FC vs Liverpool FC
The crowd can't split them: across 2 money-backed markets, Arsenal FC and Liverpool FC each finished ahead 1 times.
Markets where each side finished ahead of the other, counted on each market's latest story. Percentages are consensus within that market, among all of its sides.
- Arsenal FC 28%
- Liverpool FC 15%
Arsenal or Liverpool? The crowd's money splits: Gunners for the title, Reds for Europe
From a last-minute title decider in 1988–89 to two Morfi markets that point in opposite directions, the crowd cannot agree which of English football's giants deserves its faith.
Picture the final night of the 1988–89 league season. Liverpool and Arsenal have finished level on points and level on goal difference. Only one thing can separate them: the last game, and it is between the two of them. A last-minute goal falls Arsenal's way, the title is decided on total goals scored, and a whole city goes quiet while another one explodes. Few football rivalries have a plot that tidy, and few have been argued over for so long.
That is why this one never settles. Liverpool can point to a Premier League title in 2020 under Jürgen Klopp, and a twentieth league title in 2025 under Arne Slot. Arsenal can point to the 49-game unbeaten run of 2003 and 2004 that earned a team the name 'The Invincibles', and to a place as Champions League runners-up in 2026. Both clubs are in the mix again for the 2026–27 Premier League and the Champions League, so the comparing never stops.
It keeps coming back on Morfi, the opinion markets where people put real money behind their views. So far the two clubs have met in 2 markets, and the verdict is split down the middle. In the Premier League title market Arsenal lead with 28% consensus to Liverpool's 15%. In the Top UCL Club Choice market it flips: Liverpool sit on 10% consensus against Arsenal's 8%. Those percentages are the crowd's conviction levels, not a headcount, and the markets are still trading. Our two columnists have picked sides.
Arsenal: Drop and Give Me Title Number Whatever!
Coach TankSport & Fitness
LISTEN UP! You want to know who owns this rivalry? Go back to 1950. Arsenal win their third FA Cup, and who is lying face-down in the final? Liverpool! Then 1988–89, the most savage finish in league history. Level on points. Level on goal difference. Last game of the season, against Liverpool, last minute, and Arsenal snatch the title. THAT is what champions do. They show up when the clock is screaming!
Now look at the scoreboard that matters today: the money. In the Premier League 2026–27 market, Arsenal sit at 28% consensus. Liverpool are at 15%. That is not a gap, that is a gym membership versus a couch! And it is the crowd's conviction, with real money behind it, in an opinion market on Morfi. Not a tweet, not a chant. Cash!
Dex, my friend, I love you, but your lot are living off the 2020 and 2025 trophies. Respect! Great reps! But Arsenal have the Invincibles: 49 games unbeaten. Forty. Nine. Not a single loss across a whole title season. Tell me Liverpool have that. And yes, Arsenal reached the 2026 Champions League final. Runners-up stings, but you don't get to the final by skipping leg day. The only thing missing is the last rep. GET IT DONE, GUNNERS! Meanwhile I wrote up how the crowd backs Manchester City in the European market, and even there, Arsenal at 8% have work to do. Tough love! Earn it!
Liverpool: Never Count Out the Reds in Stoppage Time
Dex BlitzSports & Esports
And here we go, folks! Coach Tank has come flying out of the tunnel with the 1988–89 highlight reel, and yes, that one hurts. Level on points, level on goal difference, and the title gone in the dying seconds. But what does a great team do after a punch like that? It gets up! Liverpool were second behind Arsenal in 2001–02, and then they kept coming, all the way to the Premier League title in 2020 under Klopp, the club's first in the Premier League era, and a twentieth league title in 2025 under Slot. That, my friends, is a comeback with a bow on it!
Now, the markets. In the Premier League market the Reds are on 15% consensus, behind Arsenal's 28%. I'll take it! Underdog is a very comfortable shirt for this club. And look at Europe: in the Top UCL Club Choice market Liverpool edge Arsenal, 10% consensus to 8%. Small margins, sure, but it's an edge, and in this rivalry edges win trophies. The crowd's money, in Morfi's opinion markets, is telling you who it trusts when the anthem plays.
And let's be fair, Tank: Arsenal finished as Champions League runners-up in 2006 and again in 2026. Always the bridesmaid in Europe's biggest game, and the stats don't lie. My colleague has covered the Arsenal sprint away from Manchester City so I'll say it: it is an early sprint, and long seasons have a way of turning sprints into marathons. Reds fans, keep the faith. The final whistle hasn't blown!
Round table
- Coach Tank
- Dex, straight question: Liverpool are on 15% consensus for the league and Arsenal on 28%. Why should anyone back the Reds? Opinion: Arsenal stay ahead of them in that market until Christmas.
- Dex Blitz
- Because the crowd's conviction moves, Tank, and these markets are still trading. Early leads get chased down! My prediction, purely my opinion: Liverpool close that gap before the winter break.
- Dex Blitz
- My turn. Arsenal have been runners-up in the Champions League in 2006 and 2026. Is that a curse or a warm-up? Opinion: the Gunners will still hunt for their first European crown.
- Coach Tank
- A warm-up, obviously! You don't reach two finals by being soft. And since Liverpool are only on 10% against Arsenal's 8% in the UCL market, I'd say nobody is allowed to brag yet. Opinion: that European market stays tight and jumbled all season.
- Coach Tank
- Which moment would you rather own: the 1988–89 last-minute title, or the 2020 breakthrough?
- Dex Blitz
- Ouch. 2020, because it ended a wait, though I'll grudgingly admit 1988–89 had the better final minute. My opinion: the next chapter of this rivalry gets written in the Premier League table, and it goes to the wire again.
- Coach Tank
- To the wire is where Arsenal live, Dex! Opinion: if it goes there, bet on the Gunners, and so will the crowd.
- Dex Blitz
- We'll see, Coach. The beauty of the market is that it keeps score honestly. Opinion: both clubs still be arguing in the next edition, and the crowd will still be splitting its money.
Every market, newest first
- Exclusive
Who will win the Premier League 2026–27
Arsenal FC 28%Liverpool FC 15%
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Top UCL Club Choice 2026/27
Arsenal FC 8%Liverpool FC 10%
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