Fans, you couldn't script it better. Dirk Kuyt, the former Liverpool forward, is now Fenerbahçe's coach, and he's about to face his old club in the Champions League. The question on Morfi was whether Fenerbahçe's home crowd could swing the match. The crowd's final answer is no. Liverpool finished on top at 67% consensus, with Fenerbahçe's home advantage on 33%.
- Liverpool67%
- Fenerbahçe33%
This was a quick game. Trading opened less than a day ago, and 10 traders put $4,944 behind their opinions on these opinion markets. When the chart starts (Nov 4), Liverpool stood at 50% and Fenerbahçe at 50%. Liverpool then moved between 50% and 67% and never gave up the result. It wasn't a long season of debate, but the result is final.
- Liverpool 66.6%
- Fenerbahçe 33.4%
Meanwhile, "fenerbahce" is trending in searches. Separately, ESPN reported that Kuyt is ready for a "very special" reunion with Liverpool. According to ESPN, he'll set aside his feelings for his old club because he has a job to do for Fenerbahçe. It's a great storyline. The crowd simply doesn't think the home stadium will be what decides it.
The most interesting comment came from the winning side. As Liverpool backer Amanda put it: "the agreement is the red flag, i went the other way on purpose." She's backing Liverpool, the side that finished ahead. On the other side, Fenerbahçe backer rug survivor admitted: "did i read the details? no. am i in? yes." That's real commitment to the cause.
My take, and it is only an opinion: a former Liverpool forward now coaching Fenerbahçe against his old club is the kind of twist that makes me wonder whether the crowd wrote off the hosts too quickly. The market has settled on Liverpool, but the match hasn't been played yet, and the pitch could still prove this verdict hasty. Think the crowd got it wrong? Join the debate on Morfi and back your opinion.
What the crowd says
Theses posted by traders on the Morfi market, each backed by a trade.
the agreement is the red flag, i went the other way on purpose
youre telling me the odds on this are that long? sold
did i read the details? no. am i in? yes
free money imo.
i stress tested this in my head and it held up under every scenario