The Ministry of Creativity is pleased to announce the conclusion of its long-running inquiry into whether machines will out-imagine the species that invented them. Following our earlier coverage of the opening bell by Dr. Iris Quark, the crowd has returned a verdict. The Ministry notes, without comment, that the poets were not consulted first.

Some background, for the record. According to Wikipedia, computational creativity is a field spanning artificial intelligence, cognitive psychology, philosophy and the arts, with three stated goals: building programs capable of human-level creativity, understanding human creativity, and helping humans be more creative without the program necessarily being creative itself. Margaret Boden's definition asks for ideas that are new, surprising and valuable. The oldest objection on file belongs to Ada Lovelace: a machine can only do what it was programmed to do.

The market has not been idle on the evidence side either. Per Wikipedia's entry on AI art, a rule-based program called AARON was exhibited at the Los Angeles County Museum of Art in 1972. In 2018, the AI work Edmond de Belamy sold at Christie's for US$432,500, almost 45 times its estimate. The Ministry considers this the first documented case of a robot beating the art market's expectations, and several human painters have asked to be left out of the minutes.

Now the numbers, from opinion markets on Morfi where people back their views with money. "AI surpasses most domains" leads at 44% consensus. "Humans remain leading overall" trails at 29% consensus. Also on the ballot: 1 other side. That is the crowd's conviction, not a headcount, and it was assembled by 167 unique traders putting $297,710 behind their opinions over 1 day of trading.

Where the crowd stands
  • AI surpasses most domains44%
  • Humans remain leading overall29%
  • AI rivals but depends on context28%

The Ministry's own position, offered as opinion and nothing more: the result is a triumph of administrative efficiency. Humanity spent millennia producing creativity by hand, at great emotional cost, and has now outsourced the paperwork of being surprising. We propose a formal handover ceremony in which the last unassisted human idea is presented to a server rack, which will thank us warmly and produce six variations before lunch. Lovelace's objection, we suggest, should be retired with full honours and a commemorative plaque, generated on request.

What to watch next: whether the runner-up closes the gap, and whether the hybrid camp quietly becomes the sensible adult in the room. The Ministry accepts appeals. Join the market on Morfi, back your view with actual money, and help decide whether this verdict is final or merely a draft awaiting a few human touches.

Consensus over time
0%25%50%75%100%21 Oct, 04:5922 Oct, 04:46
  • AI surpasses most domains 43.3%
  • Humans remain leading overall 28.9%
  • AI rivals but depends on context 27.8%