Breaking news from the kitchen table: the jury is in, and the "Morfie guy" is a person. A real one. Probably eats toast like the rest of us. On the opinion markets at Morfi, "No, genuine human" has taken the verdict with 62% consensus, and I've already put the kettle on to celebrate.
- No, genuine human62%
- Yes, botted38%
The other camp, "Yes, botted," finishes on 38% consensus. That's a respectable showing, the way my second-best scones are respectable. But a straight two-way fight has one winner, and this time it's the side that thinks a pulse is involved.
And what a turnaround! When my colleague Ada Bytewell covered the opening bell, "Yes, Botted" took the first round. In less than a day the crowd looked a bit harder at the evidence and changed its mind. That's like deciding the noise in the attic is a ghost and then finding out it was just Grandpa looking for his reading glasses.
- No, genuine human 60.3%
- Yes, botted 39.7%
In fairness, you young people do live online all day, so I understand the suspicion. Someone posts at all hours, never seems to sleep, never seems to blink, and everybody jumps to internet bot. In my day we called that "being keen." I suppose the crowd ran its own little Turing test and decided he passed. Good for him, I say. I'm not sure I would have.
14 traders weighed in and put $14,739 behind their opinions, which is more than I've ever bet on anything, bingo included. Here's my sharp bit, dears: the crowd's first guess isn't always its best one, so give it a day before you hand out labels. Not convinced? You can still join the market on Morfi and argue with the rest of them.