A new market opened on Morfi less than a day ago, and it asks something the internet loves to argue about: does the "Morfie guy" show bot-like behavior? The question is about activity patterns and how good the evidence is. It says nothing about who anyone is, and this column won't either.

There are only two camps. "Yes, botted" leads with 55% consensus across 9 holders. "No, genuine human" sits at 45% with 6 holders. One reminder: these figures measure how strongly each side's backers are convinced. They are not a headcount of voters.

Where the crowd stands
  • Yes, botted55%
  • No, genuine human45%

Some definitions first. An internet bot is software that runs tasks automatically, and on social platforms that tends to look like posting at strange hours, repeating the same phrases or replying very fast. The trouble is that plenty of humans who are online too much do all of that too. The Turing test was meant to tell people and machines apart in conversation. Nobody built one for checking posting habits, so the crowd is grading this one by eye.

Pixel-art figure at a computer, split down the middle between a human and a robot, examined under a magnifying glass.
Half person, half robot, and a whole comment section that thinks it already knows which half wins.

Some caution is in order. 10 unique traders have put $5,870 behind their opinions, which is a start but far from a settled verdict. Early leads in new markets often come from the most confident people turning up first. That doesn't mean they've weighed the evidence best. The market's own description invites readers to judge "evidence quality," and that is the right question to ask before deciding someone is a robot.

This is a live opinion market on Morfi, where people put money behind what they think. If you've read the activity logs and come to a different view, you can join the market and back your side. Please do it by hand, at a normal speed, so nobody wonders about you.

Consensus over time
0%25%50%75%100%11 Oct, 17:4411 Oct, 17:52
  • Yes, botted 54.5%
  • No, genuine human 45.5%