Contestants, step up to the pass. Eight gadget categories walked into my kitchen today, each one swearing it is the main course of modern life: smartphones, laptops, smart TVs, tablets, wearables, gaming consoles, wireless headphones and smart home devices. The bell rang less than a day ago, and the crowd has already started tasting. And the plate they like best so far? (Dramatic pause.) The little pods that sit in your ears.
Before we judge, let's look at what's on the shelf. According to the World Bank's Global Findex tracker, a big majority of adults worldwide now own a mobile phone, and roughly two in three own a smartphone, the World Bank reports. In the US, NPR reports that a Pew Research Center survey of nearly ten thousand people found more than half of adults say they spend too much time on their phones, and about a quarter say they are on them almost constantly, according to NPR. Over in Europe, Eurostat found that in 2024 internet-connected TVs were the most used connected device, used by well over half of people, ahead of wearables and games consoles. Smart home gear trailed far behind: energy systems, appliances and security devices were each used by barely one person in seven or fewer, Eurostat says.
Now look at what the crowd is cooking on Morfi's opinion markets, where people put real money behind their palate. Wireless Headphones lead at 17% consensus with 4 holders. In second place, and this is the twist the usage numbers never saw coming, is Smart Home Devices at 16% consensus with 5 holders. Also on the ballot: 6 other sides. So far 10 unique traders have put $54,664 behind their opinions. Remember, these numbers measure the crowd's conviction, not a headcount of who owns what.
- Wireless Headphones17%
- Smart Home Devices16%
- Smartphones13%
- Laptops12%
- Wearables12%
- Gaming Consoles12%
- Smart TVs9%
- Tablets9%
So the crowd has done something bold, almost reckless. The phone is in nearly everyone's pocket, and a big share of Americans admit they can't put it down, yet the early backing skips past it for the side dishes. Smart home kit sits in second even though Eurostat's numbers show it's still on very few European tables. That isn't a menu built on how many people use something. It's a menu built on how something feels. And the question did ask what feels most influential.
My verdict, and this is pure opinion from the judge's chair: I respect the earbuds. They're the seasoning in everything. They're there on the commute, at the gym, on the call, in the queue, quietly flavouring every minute without asking for a plate of their own. But calling them the most influential is like crowning the salt over the steak. The smartphone is the stove. The headphones only work because the phone is feeding them. As for home automation in second place, that's a lovely soufflé that most of Europe hasn't ordered yet. My tasting note: daring, fragrant, and a bit undercooked.
Things to watch: whether the smartphone camp wakes up and storms the pass, whether the smart TV crowd notices that Eurostat basically handed them a recipe, and whether this early lead holds once more diners take a seat. The market is only a few hours old, and plenty of early leaders have collapsed by dessert. Think the judge has a tin palate? Join the market on Morfi, back your plate, and show me what you're cooking.
- Wireless Headphones 16.5%
- Smart Home Devices 15.7%
- Smartphones 12.8%
- Laptops 12.1%
What the crowd says
Theses posted by traders on the Morfi market, each backed by a trade.
normal people see this coming, only the experts are confused, im normal