Crowd Bets the Cybertruck Is Safer Than the G-Wagon, and the Brick Wants a Recount

A new opinion market opened on Morfi with a simple question: is the Tesla Cybertruck safer than the Mercedes G-Wagon. On one side is a stainless-steel wedge. On the other is a luxury brick that has been reassuring wealthy people with right angles since before most of its drivers were born. Trading began less than a day ago, and both camps are already acting as if the matter was settled years ago.

The background is messier than either camp would like. The Cybertruck was rated by the Insurance Institute for Highway Safety. According to its Wikipedia entry, the 2025 Cybertruck earned a 'good' crashworthiness rating, with excellent protection for front-seat occupants, while some other categories scored only acceptable or marginal. The same page records concerns about the stiff exoskeleton eating into crumple zones, the tall flat front's effect on pedestrians' legs, and electric-only doors that could trap occupants after a crash, behind windows built not to break. You could call that a feature with a sense of humour.

The G-Class sat a different exam. The second-generation W463, built from 2018 to 2024, was the first G ever formally crash tested, and Euro NCAP gave it ninety percent for adult occupants and eighty-three percent for child occupants, according to its Wikipedia entry. Weak chest protection held back its frontal-impact result, though head and neck protection was rated good. Two testing bodies with two methods produce two scorecards that cannot be added together, which has never stopped anyone at a dinner party.

The crowd has made its call anyway. "Yes", meaning the Cybertruck is safer, leads at 54% consensus with 33 holders. "No" trails at 46% with 27 holders. So far 36 unique traders have put $124,810 behind their opinions. Remember that these figures measure conviction, not a headcount. On early evidence, a 'good' rating from IIHS is outweighing a decade of stainless-steel jokes. Mercedes fans may recall that this crowd has already named the brand the most overhyped, so the badge is not getting much benefit of the doubt.

My view, labelled as opinion and held loosely: the market is pricing armour, not safety. A vehicle that protects the people inside superbly but may refuse to let them out, and is shaped like a guillotine to anyone in front of it, should come with an asterisk. The G-Wagon's weak chest score is a real liability too, but you can at least open its doors with your hands. Neither vehicle is the sensible choice. The sensible choice is a family hatchback, which nobody bets on because nobody brags about one. The crowd has form for giving Musk the benefit of the doubt, and that loyalty is now being tested on actual sheet metal.

Watch for any fresh crash-test data, recall news or a run of late Mercedes buyers who could narrow the gap while the market is still thin. A lead built in less than a day is a first quote, not a verdict. If you think you know which truck you would rather be in when things go wrong, join the market on Morfi and back that view with money.