NOYESS TAKES THE HILL: Crowd Plants Its Flag in the Trump Ecocide War Before the Smoke Has Even Cleared

FRONT LINE, MORFI MARKETS — The guns have barely cooled and the dispatch is already going out: the crowd has reached its verdict. In the war over whether Donald Trump effectively sanctions ecocide by the time his presidency ends, the side flying the banner "NOYESS" has taken the hill with 60% consensus.

Facing it across the mud is "YESSNO", dug in at 40%. Yes, this correspondent has checked his field glasses twice. The two armies march under codenames that look like each other in a mirror, the kind of thing a cipher clerk dreams up after three nights without sleep. Command has not explained them. We report the colours as they fly.

The terms of engagement are serious enough. This market will be settled by official reports, rulings, or international and academic conclusions finding that the environmental, energy and deregulation policies of the Trump years amounted to, or set off, an ecocide crisis by the end of his term. That is a tribunal-sized question, and the crowd is fighting over it in a ditch.

Troop numbers: 14 combatants have reported for duty, and $191,039 has been put behind their convictions. Remember what the percentages mean, because the recruits never do. They are consensus figures, the crowd's conviction for each side, not a head count of who is standing in which trench.

In this correspondent's view, holding a hill on day one is not the same as winning the campaign. Trading opened less than a day ago, and early ground is famously easy to give back. These numbers come from live opinion markets on Morfi, where people put money on what they believe. If you think the line is in the wrong place, join the market and push it.