Chefs, step back from your stations. The judges have tasted both plates. In one corner, a soufflé that swears it will keep rising. In the other, a sauce that's sure it's about to split. The question on the Morfi pass couldn't be simpler: does Bitcoin feel like it's going up or down? And... the verdict is in. The bulls take it.

First, let's look at what's actually in the pot, because this year's Bitcoin menu has been a wild one. Euronews reported that in early June the coin slid to around sixty-one thousand dollars, its lowest since February, as long-term holders sold off and US spot Bitcoin ETFs saw nearly two weeks of outflows in a row. By its early-July low it was sitting roughly half below its all-time high of about one hundred and twenty-six thousand dollars from October 2025. Then, after six weeks of simmering in the low-to-mid sixty-thousands, a late-August rally sent it to an intraday high near seventy-nine and a half thousand. Euronews put that down to a short squeeze and a US Treasury liquidity push.

Then the kitchen caught fire. In mid-September the US Senate failed to advance the CLARITY Act, a crypto market-structure bill, and Bitcoin fell almost four percent to below seventy-six thousand. Analysts expected clear rules wouldn't arrive until next year. Even so, by mid-October an ABC live markets snapshot had the coin at roughly eighty-two thousand dollars, barely moving on the day. So it got burned, got back up, and is now sitting above its summer peak. That's the dish on the table.

Where the crowd stands
  • Up60%
  • Down40%

Now for the scorecards. On Morfi's opinion market, "Up" holds 60% consensus and "Down" trails on 40%. In under a day, 32 traders have put $94,079 behind their gut feeling. Remember, these numbers measure how strongly the crowd believes, not how many people picked each side. And that conviction tracks the recent recipe. A coin that shook off a Senate flop and climbed back past its August high tastes like momentum to most palates, even with the June slump still on everyone's tongue.

Pixel-art kitchen where a coin-shaped soufflé rises from an oven next to a deflated grey sauce in a pan.
One rose, one collapsed. Television, darlings.

My take? I'm handing "Up" the golden spatula, but I'm doing it with one eyebrow raised. This is a soufflé made with leverage and legislative hope, and anyone who's ever opened the oven door too early knows how quickly that goes. The bears aren't wrong that the regulation is still raw in the middle and that big holders dumped coins only a season ago. Still, flavour is about the moment, and right now the moment smells of butter and nerve. Back the rise, but keep a fire extinguisher close by. That's not financial advice, it's kitchen wisdom.

What to watch next: any movement on US crypto rules, whether ETF flows turn back on, and whether eighty-two thousand turns out to be a floor or a ledge. This market only opened less than a day ago, so the ovens are hot and the judging isn't finished. Think the soufflé's about to collapse? Think it's heading for the ceiling? Join the opinion market on Morfi and put your money where your palate is.

Consensus over time
0%25%50%75%100%12 Oct, 17:5412 Oct, 22:48
  • Up 59.8%
  • Down 40.2%